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Posted 6 Nov 2014Don't have a link it just popped up on my phone but it'll be Week 4 in 2015
Posted 1 Nov 2014Glad I got to personally witness a Jets win. They have a hard fought win in the books. These guys deserve it the way they've been playing all year
Posted 24 Oct 2014http://www.nytimes.c...re-iphone-share
How Rex Ryan Can Save His Job and Help Reinvent the N.F.L.
By KEVIN QUEALY
OCTOBER 24, 2014
The Jets’ season, technically not half complete, is in effect over. With the team 1-6, a playoff berth is all but impossible. Rex Ryan’s job may be beyond saving, but there is something he could do in his remaining games to change his reputation and the league’s: He could start the fourth-down revolution in the N.F.L.
Statistics and history make clear that teams today are punting and kicking field goals too often and not going for the first down often enough. In today’s N.F.L., with offenses more potent than ever, teams are usually successful on fourth-down-and-short. And punting is of modest value when the opposing offense marches right down the field.
We’re so obsessed with the topic at The Upshot that we built some software that analyzes every N.F.L. fourth down in real time and tweets whenever a coach makes a decision that goes against the math. (It’s called NYT 4th Down Bot, and it’s three times as popular on Twitter as this real-life reporter.)
To give you a sense of the scale of the problem, coaches have gone for it on about 5 percent of fourth downs this season in the first three quarters of a game, when we think a coach should be simply trying to score as many points as possible. (They do go for it more often late in games, when they have no choice). We think they should have gone for it about 25 percent of the time in the first three quarters.
Jets Coach Rex Ryan during a 31-0 loss at San Diego this month. Being more aggressive on fourth downs could be one way to get his team out of its losing funk.
STEPHEN DUNN / GETTY IMAGES
That’s where Rex Ryan comes in.
It’s true that the Jets have made some of the worst fourth-down decisions this year, potentially costing them more than one game. But converts are often the most effective evangelists, and Ryan has an opportunity to be the coach who converts the N.F.L.
First, it’s a smart move for the sport. From an analytics perspective, fourth-down decisions are the lowest-hanging fruit on the tree. Making better decisions improves a team’s chances of winning games. N.F.L. coaches already work insane schedules, looking for the tiniest edge. So why go to that much effort just to give away a few percentage points of advantage during the game on Sunday?
Second, it’s an especially smart move for the Jets, allowing them to maximize their competitive advantage: running the ball. The Jets have the sixth-best running game in the league, averaging about 4.7 yards a carry. With a four-down mind-set, a team needs only 2.5 yards per play on each series. A third-and-5 or a third-and-6 turns into more of a potential run situation, forcing defenses to respect all play options. Plus, every handoff to Chris Ivory is another interception Geno Smith might not throw.
Third, the Jets have very little to lose: Only once in the Super Bowl era has a 1-6 team made the playoffs. A rational coach in Ryan’s unenviable position would employ what Brian Burke, whose statistical model powers our Twitter bot, calls a “high-variance” strategy. Put simply, it means underdogs should do weird stuff: trick plays, deep throws and an abundance of blitzes. They should, Burke says, “throw the dice from the get-go.”
Going it for on fourth down is not actually a weird strategy, but many people around the N.F.L. consider it to be one, and Ryan is now liberated to pursue it. Known for his innovative defensive schemes, designed to create confusion and anxiety in opposing backfields, Ryan could be well suited to this role on offense.
Fourth, a different approach to fourth down would re-establish Ryan as an innovative coach. The N.F.L. has a groupthink problem — remember when the Dolphins had success with the Wildcat formation in 2008 and many teams in the league then began experimenting with it? — and no one would get more credit for moving the herd than Ryan. That could help him significantly if he’s looking for his next job.
And, of course, there is the small matter of publicity. Even Kevin Kelley, the high school coach in Arkansas who never punts, is a mini celebrity; just think if his strategy were espoused at the game’s highest level. For every economist whose heart would be warmed by the cold logic of the “go-for-it” Jets, an equal number of television commentators’ heads might explode, a surefire recipe for great television. The ensuing mania would have the potential to reach Tebow-like levels.
In the middle of this frenzy would be Rex Ryan, the bold, risk-taking coach who has never seemed to mind being the center of attention.
Your move, coach.
Posted 5 Oct 2014m.espn.go.com/nfl/story?storyId=11646779
QuoteTension may impact Brady's future
Chris Mortensen [ARCHIVE]
ESPN | October 5, 2014
Tension exists between Tom Brady and the New England Patriots' coaching staff, and multiple sources told ESPN that they believe it could influence whether the quarterback finishes his career with the team that he has led to three Super Bowl titles.
Two sources told ESPN that former rookie quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo was drafted as Brady's successor and the move could happen "sooner than later." No source suggested that "sooner" would mean a change during the 2014 season.
Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images
Tom Brady may not finish his career in New England because of tension between the star quarterback and the Patriots' coaching staff, according to sources.
Much of Brady's frustration relates to the downsizing of the Patriots offense that stems from questionable personnel decisions and the retirement of longtime line coach Dante Scarnecchia after the 2013 season, the sources told ESPN.
With Pro Bowl guard Logan Mankins being traded before the season, the line now coached by Dave DeGuglielmo is so inexperienced that Brady's input into game plans, personnel groups and pre-snap adjustments has significantly diminished.
One team source told ESPN that a conservative approach is necessary and said everyone needs to be patient to allow the team and staff to get on the same page. Brady's declining performance also has been cited internally, a source told ESPN.
Nevertheless, the circumstances have affected Brady's confidence and performance, sources told ESPN, and the Patriots have had little success providing the talent needed to execute the team's previous approach -- a complex scheme that can change dramatically on a weekly basis.
The team's draft history also is under fire. The Patriots have used 11 draft picks on receivers since 2002 and only two -- Deion Branch and former college quarterback Julian Edelman -- have made any impact. The signing of Danny Amendola as a slot-receiver replacement for Wes Welker has proven to be a failure, too.
Even though Patriots coach Bill Belichick chuckled when asked Monday night about Brady's status, more than one source told ESPN that "nobody is untouchable."
Brady has stated publicly he wants to play another four or five years, at least. Sources close to the quarterback told ESPN that remains true but acknowledge that his career may end with another franchise unless Patriots owner Robert Kraft intercedes.
Posted 5 Oct 2014I'll just leave this here
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